观点:美联储大概率将在年底前重启资产负债表扩张

链捕手
Nov 06

ChainCatcher 消息,曾在纽约美联储公开市场部门担任交易员、如今以 The Fed Guy 为名活跃在 YouTube 频道上的约瑟夫·王(Joseph Wang)认为,在经历三年缩表后,美联储大概率将在年底前重启资产负债表扩张。

他并不认同部分投资者的观点——即美联储此举是为了防止风险资产价格崩盘、维持国债收益率低位,甚至是为了避免流动性危机。他认为,若美联储不通过购买证券向体系注入更多流动性,将失去对短期利率的控制权,也就是说,它将无法再制定货币政策。

在约瑟夫·王看来,旺盛的回购需求和不断扩大的 TGA 账户,将迫使美联储每年扩张资产负债表 3000 亿至 5000 亿美元。(金十)

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