【首席视野】郭磊:如何看10月通胀数据及其影响链条

金吾资讯
Nov 10

郭磊系广发证券首席经济学家、中国首席经济学家论坛理事摘要第一,10月通胀数据延续好转,幅度略高于预期。其中CPI同比0.2%,大致持平于我们模型预测的0.16%;PPI同比-2.1%,高于我们模型预测的-2.37%。按照CPI和PPI分别60%、40%模拟的平减指数为-0.72%,属去年9月份以来(除今年1月春节所在月份)的最高。第二,通胀在整体特征上亦出现好转:(1)食品、非食品、核心月度环比均...

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