小摩:老铺黄金(06181)指新黄金首饰增值税影响或有限 重申“跑赢大市”评级

智通财经
Nov 11, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发布研报称,将老铺黄金(06181)2025年盈利预期微调2-3%,基本维持2026-27年盈利预期不变。该行予目标价1296港元,重申“跑赢大市”评级,该股是该行内地消费板块的首选股之一。该行预期集团将继续保持增长势头,得益于品牌价值、产品创新,以及在重视民族自豪感的市场中强大的价值主张。

该行与集团讨论11月1日实施的新黄金首饰增值税(VAT)政策,新增值税政策将导致原材料成本上涨约6%,并对集团的毛利率造成3-4个百分点的压力。但管理层认为,考虑到库存储备和价格调整机制,实际对毛利率的影响可能有限。对2026年前景乐观,增长基础良好,包括平均售价增长和新店扩张。

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