穆迪:家庭债务与房价高企或致韩国央行推迟至2026年一季度降息

环球市场播报
Nov 12, 2025

  穆迪分析经济学家Dave Chia在报告中指出,韩国央行可能将降息时间推迟至2026年第一季度,主因家庭债务压力及房价持续高位构成政策掣肘。其表示,近期通胀抬头及第三季度GDP增长强于预期表明,“韩国央行并不急于进一步放宽政策”。韩国央行今年最后一次利率决议会议将于11月27日召开。

  Chia强调,韩国失业率仍维持在低位,10月经季节调整的失业率微升至2.6%(前值2.5%),而制造业岗位在连续四个月下降后出现回升,显示劳动力市场保持韧性。

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责任编辑:王许宁

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