10月金融数据前瞻:社融继续阶段性回落 信贷同比少增

中邮证券
Nov 11

投资要点(1)10 月新增信贷同比少增约2000 亿元:预计10 月新增人民币贷款(信贷口径)约3000 亿元左右,同比少增约2000 亿元。新增实体人民币贷款(社融口径)约1000 亿元。10 月季初月信贷诉求整体偏弱,同时受9 月末冲量透支影响。(2)新增信贷整体偏弱:预计对公中长期贷款同比偏弱。大型企业和中小企业供需两端偏弱,融资需求预防性偏弱,尤其是出口数据自2025 年3 月以来首次...

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