瑞银:科技牛市明年将再创新高,标普500指数目标7500点

格隆汇
Nov 11

瑞银预计,美股的科技牛市将在明年再创新高。瑞银全球经济与策略研究主管Arend Kapteyn在报告中指出,标普500指数基本情况预测明年升至7500点,升幅约12%,主要由约14%的企业盈利增长带动,其中近一半的增长来自科技板块。 市场或因估值过高出现轻微负面影响,目前企业盈利预期及估值水平均处于近40年来高位,但预计自第二季起市场将迎来更广泛及更强劲的增长。市场可能进入整固期,高质素股票将跑赢大市;至明年首季末,升势将扩展至低质素周期性股票。 展望2026年,全球经济仍将保持增长,但因关税措施推高美国物价,并影响全球出口,未来四至五个月将面临短暂的经济放缓期。

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