美股|中期选举年,财政+货币双宽松,美股上行动能延续:2026年投资策略

中信证券研究
Nov 14, 2025

文|徐广鸿 何林桓 卿施典中期选举、政策宽松、流动性充裕以及基本面向好是美股2026年核心支撑,同时,虽然AI泡沫短期难破,私募信贷风险可控,但需警惕高利率遗留风险与政策滞后引发回调。估值层面,尽管动态市盈率似乎已处于较高水平,但在高增长预期、MAG8市值占比提升进一步吸引被动资金增持的螺旋下,美股配置性价比依旧显著;宏观层面,预计2026年货币政策将持续宽松(利率预计3.25%-3.4%),...

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