看起来贵金属的涨势似乎难以被压制:黄金有望掀起新一轮涨势,这个大宗商品领域的明星很有可能在未来几个月超越10月触及的高点,而价格较为便宜的白银或许能更快站上新高。
这两种贵金属在10月下半月有所回落,RSI指标拉高状态下的价格强劲涨势稍事休息。在回调之后,对行情保持乐观的理由有很多。在现阶段,值得关注的是美联储,包括短期决策以及更长期的政策路径。
关于第一点,美国政府停摆势必给经济带来伤害,增加了劳动力市场压力。如果恢复发布的数据表明经济进一步疲软,那么将为下月再次降息奠定基础。几位决策者的口头暗示表明他们还不想这么做,但随着数据变化,采取行动的理由将会加强。
就第二点来看,特朗普将会提名新的美联储主席,他对于降息的呼声将会为明年宽松政策营造氛围,而这将有利于贵金属走势。
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