Arete Capital合伙人:比特币今年已难创新高,明年下半年有望突破15万美元

Blockbeats
6 hours ago

BlockBeats 消息,11 月 14 日,Arete Capital 合伙人 McKenna 在市场展望中指出,比特币短期仍存在较大回调空间,最大跌幅或达 31%;但从长期来看,机构增持与资金流入将推动价格在未来几年再创新高。

McKenna 表示,比特币已跌破周线 50 周期均线,或引发进一步下行压力,潜在支撑区包括 96,200 美元(高成交密集区)、93,300 美元(年初开盘价与区间中点)以及 86,000–91,000 美元区间(若完全补跌,将对应约 31% 回调)。他指出,价格曾两度在 92,000 美元附近获得支撑,通常被视为较佳的分批入场位置。

尽管预计短期或将出现调整,McKenna 强调会将回调视为增持现货的机会。他认为,比特币在 2025 年内可能无法刷新历史新高,但 2026 年下半年价格有望升至 15 万美元以上,并在特朗普总统任期结束前突破 20 万美元。他预计机构需求、ETF 持仓增加以及 2026 年的新一轮资金流入将成为长期上涨的重要推动力。

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