《金融时报》:数据缺失将成为美联储决策的主要障碍,12月会议将面临信息不全的困境

Odaily
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Odaily星球日报讯 英国《金融时报》分析指出,美联储 10 月政策会议纪要将于北京时间下周四凌晨公布,此刻投资者正对美国利率路径产生日益加剧的不确定性。上月美联储将基准利率下调至 3.75%-4%区间,但期待主席鲍威尔暗示 12 月再次降息的投资者愿望落空。10 月会议前市场已完全定价 12 月将降息 25 个基点,但鲍威尔关于“年底进一步降息并非既定事实”的声明迅速重构了市场预期。波士顿联储主席柯林斯本周更对下月降息提出质疑,强调“近期实施额外宽松的门槛相对较高”。数据缺失将成为美联储决策的主要障碍。持续 43 天的美国政府停摆于本周结束,期间劳动力市场与通胀关键数据全部停发,令投资者难以判断全球最大经济体的真实健康状况。摩根士丹利分析师在客户报告中指出,数据缺失及就业市场指标的延迟发布,意味着“美联储 12 月会议决策时将面临信息不全的困境”。

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