三菱日联金融:日元兑欧元创新低后仍有进一步下跌空间

市场资讯
Nov 19, 2025

  在日元兑欧元跌至纪录低点后,三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)认为,由于未来几个月欧元料将继续跑赢,日元的跌势可能延续到明年。欧元/日元周二触及180.10的历史新高;三菱日联金融预计,欧元/日元到2026年年中升至高达185。

  “我们仍然维持对欧元兑美元的看涨预期,”MUFG高级外汇策略师Lee Hardman表示。预计欧元/美元在2026年第三季度升至1.26美元,因在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的继任者确定后,美联储可能会采取更积极的降息行动,从而令美元承压

  随着日元空头头寸的增加,Hardman认为,如果市场突然转向,大幅逆转的风险也在上升。

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