核心观点受Grasberg、Teck 供应干扰驱动,铜价一举将价格高点记录刷新至11200 美元/吨;铝则受AI 缺电可能挤出存量电解铝产能的担忧助力站上22000 元/吨,供应因子已经被充分计价。高价格对消费的拖累开始显现,铜库存连续增加,若美联储12 月继续降息,则可能在流动性宽裕的推动下,有色价格继续向上,否则会进入到消费主导定价震荡回落修整阶段。鉴于有色的远期供需格局良好,在价格波动率回落...
Source Link核心观点受Grasberg、Teck 供应干扰驱动,铜价一举将价格高点记录刷新至11200 美元/吨;铝则受AI 缺电可能挤出存量电解铝产能的担忧助力站上22000 元/吨,供应因子已经被充分计价。高价格对消费的拖累开始显现,铜库存连续增加,若美联储12 月继续降息,则可能在流动性宽裕的推动下,有色价格继续向上,否则会进入到消费主导定价震荡回落修整阶段。鉴于有色的远期供需格局良好,在价格波动率回落...
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