美元指数周一窄幅震荡持平于99.336,投资者聚焦本周密集公布的美国关键数据,以研判美联储12月会否再度降息。因政府停摆推迟的9月非农就业报告将于周四补发,周三公布的联储会议纪要和周五发布的采购经理人指数(PMI)亦将左右市场预期。
杰富瑞经济学家莫希特·库马尔指出:“由于政府停摆期间多项数据缺失,12月会议降息仍是五五开——美联储仍缺乏足够数据支撑明确决策。”近期多位联储官员表态强调,在停摆导致的经济评估真空期内,贸然降息存在风险。
数据显示,当前利率期货市场押注12月降息25个基点的概率维持在48%。分析人士警示,若非农就业增幅重回20万人上方且薪资增速超预期,或将重燃“鹰派暂停”预期,推动美债收益率曲线再度陡峭化。
新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障
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