中金:黄金牛市尚未进入尾声

第一财经
Nov 17, 2025

中金公司指出,从历史比较的角度看,本轮黄金牛市可能尚未结束。本轮黄金牛市的涨幅与持续时间,仍低于上世纪70年代和2000年代两轮主要上涨周期。考虑到当前宏观不确定性、全球储备结构调整的长期性以及美元周期的潜在下行,我们认为黄金牛市尚未进入尾声。除非美联储彻底结束宽松周期、或美国经济重新进入“通胀下行+增长上行”的强复苏阶段,否则黄金的中期上涨逻辑仍将维持。若当前趋势延续,不排除金价明年突破 5,...

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