Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA): Valuation in Focus After Sharp Share Price Drop and Analyst Warnings

Simply Wall St.

Nov 19, 2025

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) has grabbed attention after its share price tumbled, slipping into bear market territory. Recent declines and mounting concerns around future earnings have ...

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Recent declines and mounting concerns around future earnings have ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/banks/asx-cba/commonwealth-bank-of-australia-shares/news/commonwealth-bank-asxcba-valuation-in-focus-after-sharp-shar\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA): Valuation in Focus After Sharp Share Price Drop and Analyst Warnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCommonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA): Valuation in Focus After Sharp Share Price Drop and Analyst Warnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-19 10:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/banks/asx-cba/commonwealth-bank-of-australia-shares/news/commonwealth-bank-asxcba-valuation-in-focus-after-sharp-shar><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) has grabbed attention after its share price tumbled, slipping into bear market territory. Recent declines and mounting concerns around future earnings have ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/banks/asx-cba/commonwealth-bank-of-australia-shares/news/commonwealth-bank-asxcba-valuation-in-focus-after-sharp-shar\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"CBA.AU","symbol_name":"COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/banks/asx-cba/commonwealth-bank-of-australia-shares/news/commonwealth-bank-asxcba-valuation-in-focus-after-sharp-shar","article_id":"2584990235","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/company-cover/874262-main-header/1585186656718"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/banks/asx-cba/commonwealth-bank-of-australia-shares/news/commonwealth-bank-asxcba-valuation-in-focus-after-sharp-shar","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2584990235","pubTimestamp":1763519272,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) has grabbed attention after its share price tumbled, slipping into bear market territory. Recent declines and mounting concerns around future earnings have investors taking a closer look.\nSee our latest analysis for Commonwealth Bank of Australia.\nAfter reaching record highs earlier this year, Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s share price has reversed course with a sharp decline of over 11% in the last three months. While the 1-year total shareholder...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"CBA.AU":"COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA","XKO.AU":"标普/澳交所 300指数","BK7135":"综合性银行","XJO.AU":"标普/澳交所 200指数","XAO.AU":"标普/澳交所 普通股指数"},"translate_title":"联邦银行(ASX：CBA)：股价大幅下跌和分析师警告后估值成为焦点","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"XKO.AU":0.9,"CBA.AU":1.5,"CBA":1.5,"XJO.AU":0.9,"XAO.AU":0.9},"content_text":"Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX:CBA) has grabbed attention after its share price tumbled, slipping into bear market territory. Recent declines and mounting concerns around future earnings have investors taking a closer look. See our latest analysis for Commonwealth Bank of Australia. After reaching record highs earlier this year, Commonwealth Bank of Australia’s share price has reversed course with a sharp decline of over 11% in the last three months. While the 1-year total shareholder return is 1.4%, long-term holders have still seen impressive gains of 59% and 127% over three and five years respectively. However, momentum is fading as sentiment becomes more cautious. If you’re reevaluating your strategy after CBA’s recent volatility, now might be the perfect time to expand your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership With the stock now trading well below recent highs and analysts questioning its lofty valuation, investors are left wondering if this downturn is a rare buying opportunity or if the market is simply catching up to realistic growth prospects. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 27% Overvalued Consensus projections put Commonwealth Bank of Australia's fair value well below its last close, indicating the market may be pricing in higher growth or profitability than analysts expect. This sets a challenging benchmark for future returns in the eyes of the most-followed narrative.  \"The structural shift toward a cashless society and increasing customer adoption of digital-first competitors risks compressing CBA's fee and transactional income. At the same time, product and pricing competition in high-growth segments (such as online savings accounts, youth, and migrants) is intensifying, which could impact top-line revenue growth.\"  Read the complete narrative. Curious what bold forecasts and margin shifts fuel this high market price? The narrative focuses on changes in profits and a future earnings multiple more typical of growth stories. Dive in to discover which vital assumptions are driving these eye-catching projections. Result: Fair Value of $120.47 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, CBA's rapid digital transformation and robust customer loyalty could help offset margin pressures. These factors may also support long-term earnings beyond current expectations. Find out about the key risks to this Commonwealth Bank of Australia narrative.  Build Your Own Commonwealth Bank of Australia Narrative If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, it only takes a couple of minutes to build your personalized view. So why not Do it your way A great starting point for your Commonwealth Bank of Australia research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? Your next smart move could be waiting in plain sight. Don’t sit on the sidelines while others act on fresh opportunities beyond the big banks.  Tap into the future of healthcare by seeing which companies are shaking up the industry with cutting-edge artificial intelligence. Check out these 31 healthcare AI stocks now before everyone else catches on. Score consistent income for your portfolio by exploring these 18 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that offer yields above 3%. Get in ahead of the crowd seeking strong, reliable dividends. Ride the innovation wave and spot tomorrow’s market leaders by browsing these 26 quantum computing stocks, powering advancements in next-generation computing.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}