新加坡将2025年GDP增速预期上调至4% 预计明年经济活动将放缓

环球市场播报
Nov 21, 2025

  新加坡第三季度经济好于预期,将今年增速预期上调近一倍至4%左右,但预计明年随着美国关税冲击全球经济,经济活动将放缓。

  贸工部周五表示,明年经济增长将放缓至1%-3%的区间。这是其首次发布2026年展望。

  该部在一份声明中表示:“展望2026年,由于美国关税的影响预计将更加显著,新加坡大多数主要贸易伙伴的GDP增速可能低于2025年。主要经济体增速放缓将抑制对东南亚出口的需求。”

  根据发布的终值,第三季度国内生产总值同比增长4.2%,彭博新闻社调查预期为4%,前一季度修正后为4.7%。

  经季节因素调整后GDP环比增长2.4%,与调查估计相符,高于前三个月修正后的1.7%。

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