港股异动 | 中国铝业(02600)现跌超5% 高盛认为铝价短期过高 供应增长将推动价格回落

智通财经
Nov 21, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,中国铝业(02600)现跌超5%,截至发稿,跌5.03%,报10.58港元,成交额7.87亿港元。

消息面上,高盛最新研报显示,该行维持对铝价的看跌立场,预计2026年四季度铝价将跌至2350美元/吨,并认为直到下个十年初期价格才能恢复到当前水平。高盛预计,新增供应推动市场转入过剩,铝需求虽将受益于与铜类似的需求驱动因素以及替代效应,但铝不会面临铜所遭遇的资源限制问题。

小摩则表示,对铝业在明年的前景依然看好。在该行的基本预测中,预计来自印尼的新供应,将在2026年带来适度的供应过剩,但潜在的供应中断风险,及海外产能重启速度放缓,或令市场供应比基准预测更为紧张。

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