晨星:上调长江基建集团(01038)公允价值至65港元 未来五年每股股息复合年增长3%

智通财经
Nov 27, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,晨星发布研报称,上调长江基建集团(01038)公允价值3%至65港元,受惠于盈利预期微增。该股目前被低估,预测市盈率15倍及股息率4.8%,中期前景稳健。

晨星表示,未来五年每股盈利复合年增长6.3%,原因是受监管的回报率将提高,以反映自上一轮调整以来资本成本的显著上升。允许的回报率通常每五年调整一次,高于政府债券收益率,而政府债券收益率自疫情以来已大幅上涨。晨星预测,未来五年每股股息复合年增长率3%,该行预期管理层将控制股息增长,从而使派息比率降至70%以下。

鉴于受监管公用事业的前景越来越好,回报率升高,该行将中期每股盈利预测平均上调2.4%。

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