金吾财讯 | 航空股震荡上行，截至发稿，中国东方航空股份(00670)涨4.64%，中国国航(00753)涨4.36%，中国南方航空股份(01055)涨1.98%。消息面上，中泰证券发布研报称，Q3航空板块油汇利好下成本下降，南航、东航归母净利润略超预期。该行指出，航企有较多外币负债且多以美元负债为主，若人民币汇率走弱，可能会使航企产生较大金额的汇兑损益，从而影响当期利润；航油成本是航空公司的大项成本之一，油价大幅上升将增加航司的燃油成本，进而影响经营业绩。国泰海通发布研报称，11月传统换季影响弱于往年，公商需求保持同比良好增长，客座率与国内票价保持同比上升，预计11月航空行业性大幅减亏。在暑运公商需求意外陡峭走弱压力下，A股航司25Q3单季整体业绩实现逆势增长，并连续三年高于19Q3，初步展现盈利上行趋势与潜力；需求稳健增长与“反内卷”将保障25Q4淡季大幅减亏与全年扭亏。另外，据估算9-10月国际航线客座率或超80%，持平暑运旺季，同比提升超3pct，驱动国际票价同比大增，特别是欧洲航线表现亮眼。
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