建银国际:下调中国旺旺(00151)目标价至5.7港元 “跑赢大市”评级

智通财经
Nov 26

智通财经APP获悉,建银国际发布研报称,略下调中国旺旺(00151)目标价1.7%,从5.8港元降至5.7港元,维持“跑赢大市”评级。该行收窄对该公司2026/2027财年盈利10%/8%,主要考虑2026财年中期业绩弱于预期,渠道改革之下利润率假设也更加保守。

中国旺旺2026财年上半年净利润下降8%至17.17亿元人民币,主要受毛利率疲软等因素而差于预期,尽管有效税率降低。该行认为,利润率短期会作为牺牲品,长期将步入正轨。2025年早期,旺旺就重组多个渠道单元,从而抓住渠道转型机会。该行预计,旺旺将继续推动渠道改革,加快创新步伐,以更好地适应不断变化的消费者需求。尽管短期利润率面临压力,但认为该策略有利于长期持续的销售增长。

该行目前预测,2026财年下半年收入增长2.4%,毛利率/经营利润率将下降0.7个/1.6个百分点,导致净利润下降4.2%。预计在成本环境更加有利、渠道执行力提升之下,2027财年将恢复盈利增长。

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