中金:首予安徽皖通高速公路(00995)“优于大市”评级 目标价15.12港元

智通财经
Nov 28, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,首次覆盖安徽皖通高速公路(00995),给予“优于大市”评级,目标价15.12港元,较现价有8%上行空间。公司路产多位于省际交界处,承东启西、连南接北、沿江通海,当地汽车产业发达,区域客货运需求大。公司核心路产开通时间早,2014-24年平均毛利率高达59.5%,改扩建后收费年限长。

该行预计,短期公司收购阜周和泗许高速安徽段、宣广和广祠改扩建完成贡献盈利增量,另收购山东高速7%股权有望增厚2026年投资收益约3亿元人民币;中长期看,高界高速改扩建和参股修建新路产体现持续成长性。

报告提到,公司2025-27年规划分红比例不低于60%,据该行测算,H股现价对应2025-26年股息率为5.4%/6%,均位于H股高速前列。中金预计公司2025/26年盈利分别为19.7/21.7亿元人民币,2024-26年复合增长率为14%。当前H股高速平均股息率为5.9%,考虑皖通聚焦高速、资产优异且成长性好,市场应给予一定估值溢价,以5%股息率对应H股2025年目标价15.12港元,对应2025/26年12/10.8倍市盈率。

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