【券商聚焦】华泰证券维持新奥能源(02688)“买入”评级 指私有化略延后无碍价值修复潜力

金吾财讯
Dec 04, 2025

金吾财讯 | 华泰证券研报指,新奥能源(02688)私有化交易持续推进中,已完成反垄断咨询、发改委备案等关键前置条件,虽将寄发计划文件最后期限延长至2026年1月30日,但交易推进节奏未受实质影响。公司经营表现稳健,前三季度天然气零售气量增速跑赢行业,泛能项目规模持续扩张,智家业务渗透率与客单价同步提升,基本面呈现边际改善态势。叠加产业链整合价值凸显、红利配置资金持续增加等利好因素,该机构维持原有盈利预测,维持2025-27年核心利润预测70.0/74.6/79.2亿元(三年预测期CAGR为4%),EPS 6.19/6.59/7.00元。公司私有化交易稳步推进,产业链整合价值凸显;天然气零售、泛能、智家三大核心业务形成协同,支撑公司稳定派息,红利配置资金持续增加有望推动估值修复。上调目标价至79.8港币(前值68.0港币,基于10x 2025E PE),基于11x 2026E PE和港币兑人民币中间价0.9088,目标PE高于3年动态PE均值,充分体现公司长期发展价值与私有化溢价。 维持“买入”评级。

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