ADP数据公布后,美联储12月降息25个基点的概率小幅降至88.8%

Blockbeats
Dec 03, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,12 月 3 日,据 CME“美联储观察”数据,今日 ADP 数据公布后,美联储 12 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 88.8%(公布前为 89.2%),维持利率不变的概率为 11.2%。

美联储至 1 月维持利率不变的概率为 29.5%,累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 63%,累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 7.8%。

美联储接下来两次 FOMC 会议日期分别为 12 月 10 日,2026 年 1 月 28 日。

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