Tom Lee:标普500将涨至7300点,市场流动性的激增或是爆炸性

Blockbeats
Dec 02, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,12 月 2 日,Tom Lee 周一在 CNBC 的《Squawk Box》节目中表示,标普 500 指数已准备好迎接年底的“融涨”,他称“7200-7300 点”并非一种奢望,而是“12 月很有可能实现的目标”。为了确保语气足够明确,他给出了最直接的立场总结:“我非常看涨。”

Lee 认为,交易员们正像梦游一样忽视了流动性、投降式抛售和时间窗口这三大要素。Lee 指出,市场最大的单一顺风因素已经到来:“现在就是量化紧缩(QT)结束的时刻。”随着美联储准备在本月降息,且资产负债表紧缩在持续近三年后停止,他认为流动性的激增可能是爆炸性的

Lee 表示,在闭门会议中,机构情绪已经崩溃,许多基金经理“举手投降”,指望混到一月。现在,如果 12 月走势强劲,他预计会出现一波避免因业绩落后而危及职业生涯的抢购潮,这是经典的“追逐业绩”行为,这类行为可能会在广泛的市场 ETF 中引发惊人的暴涨。

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