Rapid Wage Growth in Canada to Keep BOC Sidelined -- Market Talk

Dow Jones
Dec 02, 2025

1141 ET - Robust wage growth in Canada is going to keep the central bank on hold for the foreseeable future, says the economics team at National Bank Financial. Even with the presence of excess slack, indicators of hourly wage growth indicate a 3.5% jump from a year ago -- and NBF adds that masks a sharp 5% jump over the past 6 months. This kind of wage growth is keeping measures of core inflation at or above 3%, the firm says. Services inflation, which is more dependent on wage pressures, rose 3.5% excluding shelter in October, or the highest rate since May, 2023. The wage gains likely reflect unionized workers ability to win pay increases to compensate for this decade's runup in inflation, NBF says. (paul.vieira@wsj.com; @paulvieira)

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

December 01, 2025 11:41 ET (16:41 GMT)

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