【券商聚焦】中泰国际重申中国水务(00855)“增持”评级 指项目提价步伐料可超预期

金吾财讯
Dec 02, 2025

金吾财讯 | 中泰国际研报指,中国水务(00855)FY26(年结:3月31日)上半年总收入及股东净利润分别同比下跌12.9%及24.4%至51.8亿元及5.7亿元(港币,下同),主因:(一)受到内地房地产市场波动影响,供水接驳收入同比下跌28.6%至5.6亿元。(二)公司优化发展步伐,供水及直饮水建设服务收入分别同比下跌28.2%及60.2%至11.6亿元及5,300万元;(三)直饮水经营服务收入同比下跌5.6%至1.9亿元。虽然如此,核心供水经营业务保持增长,相关收入及售水量分别同比增长4.5%及5.0%至18.0亿元及7.6亿吨。此外惠州美孚项目自FY25起提供收入,有效推动公司污水处理业务扩张,FY26H1污水处理经营服务收入同比上升14.5%至3.6亿元。FY26H1期间,公司共有8个供水项目获批涨价,已达8至10个项目的公司全年目标。获批项目包括湖南宁乡、湖北江陵、湖北石首、江西宜丰、深圳大工业区、河南西华、广东博罗长宁、河南鲁山项目,每日供水能力合共为105万吨,相等于2025年9月底公司总供水能力739万吨的14.2%。由于江西彭泽项目近日已获批涨价,黑龙江鹤岗及湖南怀化沅辰项目也已进入听证会阶段,该机构相信FY26全年获批数目将超出预期。考虑FY26H1业绩及水价上涨因素,该机构分别降低FY26-28股东净利润预测10.8%、14.8%、14.8%,并相应将目标价由6.90港元下调至6.52港元,对应10.1%上升空间及9.5倍FY27市盈率。该机构重申“增持”评级。

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