12月5日，安联环球投资公募市场首席投资总监Michael Krautzberger认为，预期美联储本月将降息25个基点，但内部投票结果或将显示立场不一。美联储主席鲍威尔曾强调12月降息“远非已成定局”。由于政府停摆导致部分官方数据缺失，加上美国经济表现强于预期，令官员倾向更审慎行事。
展望未来，在经济不陷入衰退的基本情境假设下，他维持预测美联储将额外进行总共50个基点的预防性降息，令联邦基金目标利率区间在2026年中降至3.25-3.5%，这轮温和宽松虽有助支持经济增长，并缓和下行风险，但仍低于市场对终端利率低于3%的预期。
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