交银国际: 料中国人工智能超级周期或于2026年继续 看好国产人工智能及国产替代产业链机会

智通财经
Dec 05

智通财经APP获悉,交银国际发布研报称,本轮生成式人工智能所带来的技术进步浪潮范围大,影响深远且牵涉产业链环节较多。该行认为,AI基础建设至少在2026年或持续强劲增长。该行认为美股芯片设计和晶圆代工企业,包括英伟达(NVDA.US),博通(AVGO.US)和台积电(TSM.US)或持续受惠于人工智能基础设施建设。同时看好国产人工智能及国产替代产业链机会,包括北方华创(002371.SZ),豪威集团(603501.SH),中微公司(688012.SH)和华虹半导体(01347)。

该行预计,主要云厂商资本开支于2026年或持续增长30%以上。同时发现主要云厂商云业务收入在今年第二季之后加速,达到近年来高点。虽其开支相对于经营性现金流的占比处相对高位,但认为整体过度投资的风险可控。另外,该行指,继续看好国产替代在关键产业链的投资机会,并认为“十五五”期间的政策支持或使国产替代进程加速。同时看到内地云服务商资本开支2025年或年增49%,并认为或在2026-2027年保持高位。

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