摩根士丹利的经济学家在报告中表示，基于政策制定者的表态，以及“几乎确定的市场定价和美联储不愿让市场感到意外的历史”，他们重新预测美联储将在下周降息。

　　经济学家回到此前的预测，即12月、1月和4月各降息25个基点，使联邦基金利率目标区间降至3%-3.25%。

　　由Michael Gapen领衔的团队曾因推迟发布的9月就业数据显示就业增长回升，而在11月20日撤回对12月降息的预测。

　　他们在周五写道：“看来我们操之过急”。

　　与此同时，市场预计美联储12月10日降息的可能性已升至约90%。

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