金吾财讯 | 惠誉预测显示,到2026年中期,美国、欧元区和英国的政策利率将接近预估的“中性”水平。惠誉预计,美联储将在12月维持利率不变,但随着关税冲击趋于稳定且失业率小幅上升,联邦公开市场委员会将在明年6月前降息三次。随着失业率显著上升,惠誉当前预计英国央行将在2026年降息三次。预计欧洲央行则不会进一步降息。
金吾财讯 | 惠誉预测显示,到2026年中期,美国、欧元区和英国的政策利率将接近预估的“中性”水平。惠誉预计,美联储将在12月维持利率不变,但随着关税冲击趋于稳定且失业率小幅上升,联邦公开市场委员会将在明年6月前降息三次。随着失业率显著上升,惠誉当前预计英国央行将在2026年降息三次。预计欧洲央行则不会进一步降息。
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