【券商聚焦】华泰证券:展望Q4 客运数据与酒店ADR数据均展现回暖迹象 OTA行业增长或有加速

金吾财讯
Dec 10, 2025

金吾财讯 | 华泰证券研报指,国内旅游行业3Q整体呈现人次增长有韧性,但是人均消费较弱的情况,展望4Q,客运数据与酒店ADR数据均展现较好回暖迹象,行业增长或有加速。3Q25 OTA平台收入基本符合VA一致预期(简称“预期”下同),增速中枢高于海外的趋势延续,携程同程3Q25间夜量同比保持中低双位数增长,其中携程国际平台板块增长迅速,而同程ADR增速则领先行业回正。3Q25利润兑现依旧优于收入,国内更稳定的格局下,携程、同程在3Q旺季以精细化补贴、提升运营效率实现了超预期的利润释放,与海外龙头利润率差距进一步缩窄。估值层面,国内OTA平台在更高的收入增速中枢和利润释放潜力下,26年预期PE仍低于海外OTA。

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