金吾财讯 | 中信建投发研报指,受过去两年价格下行周期影响,产业链公司扩产速度明显放慢,且融资收紧、盈利连续亏损之下大部分公司不具备大幅扩产的能力。此前的过剩产能随行业需求3年复合30%+的增速被逐步消化,当前材料全行业产能利用率75%以上,2026Q2将突破80%,具备涨价基础。我们认为明年有望在储能需求超预期之下,看到材料环节产能利用率提升,部分环节出现紧张。当前已看到供需最近的6F环节散单价格从底部至今已经翻倍,LFP、负极、隔膜、铜箔、铝箔环节价格也开始启动上涨。
金吾财讯 | 中信建投发研报指,受过去两年价格下行周期影响,产业链公司扩产速度明显放慢,且融资收紧、盈利连续亏损之下大部分公司不具备大幅扩产的能力。此前的过剩产能随行业需求3年复合30%+的增速被逐步消化,当前材料全行业产能利用率75%以上,2026Q2将突破80%,具备涨价基础。我们认为明年有望在储能需求超预期之下,看到材料环节产能利用率提升,部分环节出现紧张。当前已看到供需最近的6F环节散单价格从底部至今已经翻倍,LFP、负极、隔膜、铜箔、铝箔环节价格也开始启动上涨。
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