第一上海最新研报指出,高途(NYSE: GOTU)在截至2025年9月30日的FY25Q3财季表现亮眼,收入同比增长30.7%至15.8亿元人民币,达到此前指引上限。Non-GAAP经营亏损大幅收窄至1.69亿元,较去年同期的4.76亿元显著改善;同期Non-GAAP净亏损亦由4.57亿元缩减至1.38亿元。公司现金及等价物达30.4亿元,且无有息负债,财务状况稳健。
分业务来看,非学科培训及传统K12业务合计贡献约80%的收入,同比增长超35%,其中非学科培训收入同比激增逾60%,并实现单季度盈利,全年有望达成双位数利润率。成人与大学生业务占比约15%,营收与现金收款均录得两位数增长,大学生板块收入同比飙升50%,亦实现单季盈利。
展望未来,公司预计FY25Q4收入将同比增长17.2%-18.7%,达16.28亿至16.48亿元,增速环比放缓主要受2026年春节时间延后影响教学节奏。尽管短期因招生投入及业务调整导致Q4 Non-GAAP运营亏损预计达1.5亿元,但公司已明确转向强调运营效率,线下学习中心收入占比突破10%,AI赋能亦持续提升人效。
基于12%的折现率及-1%的永续增长率(考虑出生率下行压力),第一上海维持对高途“买入”评级,目标价4.2美元,较前一交易日收盘价存在77.1%上行空间,看好其长期健康发展潜力。
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