BlockBeats 消息,12 月 16 日,随着特朗普亲信力推沃什出任下一任美联储主席,预测市场中押注沃什成为美联储新主席的概率已反超哈塞特,升至首位。德意志银行 Matthew Luzzetti 团队最新研报指出,若沃什当选美联储主席,他可能支持降息,同时推进资产负债表缩减(QT)。但两者并行的前提是监管改革能降低银行体系对储备金的需求,短期内能否实现仍存不确定性。
作为鲍威尔的热门继任人选,沃什今年早些时候提出“通胀是一种选择”的观点,认为通胀并非由供应链或地缘政治所致,而是源于美联储自身的政策决策,呼吁美联储与财政部各司其职分别负责利率和财政账户,而美联储必须改革并回归维持价格稳定的核心使命。尽管批评政策,但他极度看好美国经济前景,认为 AI 和去监管化将带来类似 1980 年代的生产力爆发。
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