市场分析:鲍威尔鸽派言论以及美联储鸽派反应机制助力黄金升势

链捕手
Dec 15, 2025

ChainCatcher 消息,据金十数据报道,Investinglive 分析师 Giuseppe Dellamotta 表示,近期,美联储主席鲍威尔在 FOMC 新闻发布会上发表了比预期更为鸽派的言论,为黄金价格提供了支撑。他淡化了通胀风险,并强调劳动力市场的疲软,暗示美联储对更高通胀的容忍度高于对劳动力市场疲软的容忍度。

本周的焦点是美国的非农就业报告和消费者物价指数(CPI)报告。目前,市场预计到 2026 年底美联储将降息 57 个基点。如果美国经济数据强劲,尤其是在劳动力市场方面,我们可能会看到市场对利率预期进行鹰派调整,并导致黄金价格下跌。

另一方面,疲软的数据应该会进一步支撑贵金属价格,因为市场将提前押注降息。从更宏观的角度来看,由于美联储的鸽派反应机制,实际收益率可能会继续下降,因此黄金价格应该会保持上升趋势。但短期内,利率预期的进一步鹰派调整可能会对市场构成压力。

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