Bitwise顾问:当前市场结构不利于比特币上涨,比特币OG鲸鱼仍在持续抛售

Blockbeats
Dec 14, 2025

BlockBeats 消息,12 月 14 日,Bitwise 顾问 Jeff Park 发文表示,“当前市场结构从根本上并不利于比特币出现实质性的价格上涨。原因在于,一方面比特币 OG 持有者仍在持续抛售,另一方面来自 ETF 和 DAT 的需求却同时放缓。

与此同时,Jeff Park 强调,比特币要想走出行情,必须以持续性的方式回到显著更高的隐含波动率水平,尤其是向上的波动率。11 月时,我曾表示“要么波动,要么死亡”,并分享了当时首次出现的异常突破信号,终于看到波动率开始回升,重新燃起了一些希望。然而,遗憾的是,过去两周隐含波动率再次被全面压制。从 11 月下旬一度高达 63%,如今已回落至 44%。”

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