兴业证券2026年美股展望:继续走强 科技依然是领头羊 非科技行情或有惊喜

智通财经网
Dec 17, 2025

智通财经APP获悉,兴业证券发布研报称,2026年美股有望继续走强,EPS是推动标普500指数的主要动能。中性情形下,美联储降息两次,经济软着陆,AI叙事持续兑现为盈利,EPS增长12%,PE维持不变,对应标普500指数仍能取得12%的涨幅。乐观情形下,美联储向特朗普妥协,2026年降息四次,经济偏强叠加AI赋能,通胀依然保持温和,EPS增长14%,则指数将具有较大上行空间。悲观情形下,通胀风险...

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