分析:标普 500 或迎“圣诞行情”,比特币面临关键季节性窗口

链捕手
Dec 22, 2025

ChainCatcher 消息,据 CoinDesk 报道,历史数据显示标普 500 指数往往会在每年 12 月的最后一周和 1 月的前两个交易日上涨,若这种场景重演可能会缓解比特币的困境,目前比特币正经历自 2022 年以来最艰难的第四季度。

市场统计数据显示,自 2005 年以来标普 500 指数在“圣诞行情”期间上涨了 15 次,仅下跌了 5 次,平均涨幅为 0.58%。不过比特币的“圣诞行情”历史可谓跌宕起伏,2011 年和 2016 年分别实现了 33% 和 46% 的强劲反弹,而其他年份则表现疲软,比如 2014 年下跌 14%、2021 年下跌 10%。

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