ChainCatcher 消息，据 Finbold 报道，宏观经济学家 Henrik Zeberg 在 X 平台发文，美联储拥有超过 400 名经济学博士，却仍错过了显而易见且具有启发意义的经济模式。他表示，我们正走向一场大规模的经济衰退，尽管美联储拥有大量的资源，却对此视而不见。
Zeberg 强调，理解商业周期中事件的正确顺序对于预测经济衰退至关重要，美联储目前的预期低估了即将到来的经济衰退的严重程度和时间。
报道称，他认为失业率在每一次重大经济衰退之前就已经出现，并且仍然是一个“永远不会出错”的指标。而美国 11 月份失业率达到 4.6%，为四年来最高水平，逼近萨姆规则设定的衰退阈值，并将经济衰退的可能性推高至约 40%。
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