比推消息， 在 12 月降息之后，鹰派势力将随之增强，越来越多的 FOMC 成员将表明不愿支持连续第四次降息的立场，因此美联储明年 1 月利率很可能将维持不变。到 1 月，随着地区联储主席轮换，投票构成也将发生变化，但这不太可能对利率轨迹产生重大影响。持反对意见的鹰派成员施密德和古尔斯比将由立场相近的克利夫兰联储的贝丝·哈玛克（Beth Hammack）和达拉斯联储的洛里·洛根（Lorie Logan）接任。相对中间派的尼尔·卡什卡利（Neel Kashkari）和安娜·保尔森（Anna Paulson）也将在 2026 年拥有投票权。
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