智通财经APP获悉，玖龙纸业(02689)涨超6% ，截至发稿，涨6.76%，报6港元，成交额2945.32万港元。
消息面上，据中纸网报道，近期，以玖龙、山鹰、理文、荣成为代表的包装纸企业大规模停机检修，主动收缩产能；博汇、APP、万国纸业、亚太森博等白卡纸及文化纸厂商集体宣布涨价。这种“停机+涨价”的并存的现象，凸显不同纸种在成本结构、供需关系和市场预期上的显著差异。据不完全统计，玖龙纸业、山鹰国际、理文纸业、荣成纸业等头部企业已全面启动2026年一季度停机计划，时间高度集中于1月至2月(春节前后)，主力产品为箱板瓦楞纸、牛卡纸等废纸系包装用纸。
中金指出，2022年3月开启的造纸行业主动去库已持续19个月，接近历史最长周期，2025年四季度有望迎来拐点，库存周期的改善将进一步强化行业景气度回升预期。展望2026年，消费需求仍在温和修复阶段，各类纸种供给变化各异：浆纸系纸种供需仍然宽松，浆价成为行业补库、及去库关键推动力，浆纸一体化龙头有望继续获得超额利润；箱板瓦楞纸产能已基本收尾，有望率先走出本轮供需失衡周期，迎来产能利用率修复，吨纸价格中枢同比抬升的业绩修复行情。
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