摩根大通:保险股首选中国平安(02318) 目标价上调至100港元

智通财经
Jan 08

智通财经APP获悉,摩根大通发表研究报告指出,2025年香港上市的保险股表现优于亚太区同业,其中国人寿(02628)升87%,跑赢恒指28%的升幅。该行预期,2026年将是主要寿险公司强劲资产负债表、稳健分销渠道及优化产品组合获得市场认可的一年。中国平安(02318)为该行首选,给予“增持”评级,目标价上调至100港元。其次为中国人寿(02628),目标价40港元。

该行同时将太保(02601)评级由“中性”上调至“增持”,反映其基本面复苏。不过,将新华保险(01336)评级由“增持”下调至“中性”,主要由于2025年股价强劲上涨后,相对主要寿险公司的准备金质量差距扩大。

对于非寿险板块,该行维持谨慎立场,对人保(01339)及财险(02328)维持“中性”评级。该行继续偏好H股多于A股,认为H股具有更有利的风险回报状况,预计H-A股估值差距将会收窄。中国平安(02318)以2026财年预测市盈率7倍及5%股息率交易,估值吸引。

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