保险股受压 中国财险(02328)跌3.28%

金吾财讯
Jan 08

金吾财讯 | 保险股受压,中国财险(02328)跌3.28%,中国太平(00966)跌3.23%,中国人民保险集团(01339)跌3.05%,中国人寿(02628)跌2.45%,友邦保险(01299)跌2.21%,新华保险(01336)跌2.23%,中国太保(02601)跌1.79%,宏利金融-S(00945)跌1.45%,中国平安(02318)跌1.13%。国金证券表示,负债端高景气带来估值切换行情,后续保险股行情的接力在于负债端高景气度的持续(预计银保渠道会有较高增长)与春季躁动行情对资产端的驱动,且保险公司Q1利润基数不高。长期来看,负债端进入量价齐升的向上周期,在量的方面受益于存款搬家及养老储蓄需求旺盛,以及头部公司市占率提升;价的方面,存量成本开始下降、新增保单有利差益。在资产端股市、利率处于稳定或向好的情况下,负债端增长带来大保险公司扩表是本轮保险行情强化的重要支撑。重点推荐开门红预期较好,以及业务质地较好(负债成本低、资负匹配情况较好)的头部险企。

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