今晚21:30，华尔街屏息以待12月非农就业报告。目前市场共识预期新增就业约7万人，失业率有望微降至4.5%。若数据符合“招聘放缓但无裁员潮”的温和增长特征，将支撑经济“软着陆”预期并强化1月暂停降息的定价；若失业率意外上升，降息预期将重燃。定价显示，1月维持利率不变的概率约为80%，而到3月进一步降息25个基点的概率约为48%。华尔街正屏息以待北京时间今晚21:30公布的美国12月非农就业报告。...
Source Link今晚21:30，华尔街屏息以待12月非农就业报告。目前市场共识预期新增就业约7万人，失业率有望微降至4.5%。若数据符合“招聘放缓但无裁员潮”的温和增长特征，将支撑经济“软着陆”预期并强化1月暂停降息的定价；若失业率意外上升，降息预期将重燃。定价显示，1月维持利率不变的概率约为80%，而到3月进一步降息25个基点的概率约为48%。华尔街正屏息以待北京时间今晚21:30公布的美国12月非农就业报告。...
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