Assessing Patria Investments (PAX) Valuation After Positive Growth Commentary And Upgraded Earnings Outlook

Simply Wall St.

Jan 11

Recent commentary has put Patria Investments (PAX) in focus as a growth stock, pointing to its favorable Zacks Rank, expected EPS expansion and positive earnings estimate revisions as key drivers of ...

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See our latest analysis for Patria Investments. Patria’s US$17.28 share price sits against a recent pattern where the 90 day share price return of 25.22% and 1 year total shareholder return of 60.40% point to momentum building around the growth story highlighted by analyst commentary and earnings expectations. If Patria’s recent move has caught your eye, it could be a good moment to see what else is out there with fast growing stocks with high insider ownership and compare other fast growing opportunities side by side. With Patria trading around US$17.28, close to an average analyst price target of US$16.57, the key question is whether recent growth expectations leave upside on the table or whether the market is already pricing in future gains. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 4.3% Overvalued With Patria Investments trading at US$17.28 against a most followed fair value of about US$16.57, the current price sits slightly above that narrative line in the sand and puts more attention on the assumptions behind it. The company's ongoing expansion into new strategies, products, and geographies (including recent acquisitive moves in Brazilian and Mexican real estate and GPMS European platforms) further diversifies fee revenues and enhances operating leverage. This supports higher sustainable margins and earnings compounding as scale advantages take hold. Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue build, margin profile and earnings multiple are baked into that price target? The narrative leans on very specific growth, dilution and discount rate assumptions that are not immediately obvious from the headline numbers. Result: Fair Value of $16.57 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that story can change if fee compression bites harder than expected, or if expansion across Latin America and Europe brings higher costs and integration headaches. Find out about the key risks to this Patria Investments narrative.  Build Your Own Patria Investments Narrative If you see the numbers differently or just prefer to work from your own assumptions, you can quickly build a personalized thesis and Do it your way A great starting point for your Patria Investments research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If Patria has sharpened your interest, do not stop here. Casting a wider net with focused stock lists can reveal opportunities that suit your style even better.  Target potential value opportunities by scanning these 876 undervalued stocks based on cash flows grounded in cash flow based signals instead of headlines or hype. Tap into growth themes at the intersection of medicine and algorithms with these 30 healthcare AI stocks and see which companies fit your risk tolerance. Explore the yield theme by checking out these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that pair income potential with equity exposure in one place.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}