Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) Valuation Check After Lithium Sentiment Jolt And Upcoming Quarterly Update

Simply Wall St.

Jan 11

Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) has retreated from recent highs after Chinese officials flagged potential overcapacity in the electric vehicle and battery sectors. Attention is now shifting to the company...

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Attention is now shifting to the company...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/mineral-resources-asxmin-valuation-check-after-lithium-senti\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) Valuation Check After Lithium Sentiment Jolt And Upcoming Quarterly Update</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMineral Resources (ASX:MIN) Valuation Check After Lithium Sentiment Jolt And Upcoming Quarterly Update\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-11 06:16 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/mineral-resources-asxmin-valuation-check-after-lithium-senti><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) has retreated from recent highs after Chinese officials flagged potential overcapacity in the electric vehicle and battery sectors. Attention is now shifting to the company...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/mineral-resources-asxmin-valuation-check-after-lithium-senti\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK7507","symbol_name":"资源股","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/mineral-resources-asxmin-valuation-check-after-lithium-senti","article_id":"2602537297","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2052000-choice2-main-header/1585186553865"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-min/mineral-resources-shares/news/mineral-resources-asxmin-valuation-check-after-lithium-senti","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2602537297","pubTimestamp":1768083376,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) has retreated from recent highs after Chinese officials flagged potential overcapacity in the electric vehicle and battery sectors. Attention is now shifting to the company’s January quarterly and upcoming half year results.\nSee our latest analysis for Mineral Resources.\nMineral Resources’ recent pullback comes after a strong run, with the 30 day share price return of 10.51% and 90 day share price return of 29.34% backed by a 1 year total shareholder return of...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7507":"资源股","MIN":"MFS Intermediate Income Trust","MIN.AU":"MINERAL RESOURCES LTD","BK7095":"多种金属与采矿","BK7504":"锂钴概念"},"translate_title":"锂情绪波动和即将到来的季度更新后矿产资源(ASX：MIN)估值检查","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MIN":1.5,"MIN.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) has retreated from recent highs after Chinese officials flagged potential overcapacity in the electric vehicle and battery sectors. Attention is now shifting to the company’s January quarterly and upcoming half year results. See our latest analysis for Mineral Resources. Mineral Resources’ recent pullback comes after a strong run, with the 30 day share price return of 10.51% and 90 day share price return of 29.34% backed by a 1 year total shareholder return of 65.96%, although the 3 year total shareholder return is negative. If this kind of volatility has your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your watchlist and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership. With Mineral Resources trading around A$57.09, showing a value score of 5 and an estimated intrinsic discount of about 58%, the key question is whether this signals genuine undervaluation or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 22.6% Overvalued Against the last close of A$57.09, the most followed narrative puts fair value at A$46.58, suggesting the current price sits well above that estimate.  The fair value estimate has risen slightly to A$46.58 per share from A$45.43 per share, implying a modest uplift in the intrinsic valuation. The net profit margin forecast has increased significantly to about 10.21% from 7.45%, driving a substantial portion of the higher fair value estimate.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue path and margin rebuild are factored into that higher fair value, and how a lower future P/E still supports it? The full narrative lays out the earnings trajectory and profitability shift that need to occur for this price to make sense. Result: Fair Value of $46.58 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are still clear pressure points, including heavy recent capital spending and exposure to lithium and iron ore prices. These factors could quickly challenge this upbeat earnings path. Find out about the key risks to this Mineral Resources narrative. Another View: Ratios Point to a Very Different Story While the narrative-based fair value suggests Mineral Resources looks 22.6% overvalued at A$57.09, our price to sales work paints almost the opposite picture. On 2.5x sales, the company sits far below peers on 14.8x and even under its own 14.6x fair ratio, which signals a wide gap that could cut both ways in terms of risk and opportunity. The real question is whether you think that gap reflects genuine issues, or a market that has swung too far in one direction. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. ASX:MIN P/S Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Mineral Resources Narrative If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or just want to test your own assumptions, you can build a custom view in minutes using Do it your way. A great starting point for your Mineral Resources research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision. Ready for more investment ideas? Before you move on, take a moment to line up a few fresh ideas so you are not relying on just one stock to carry your portfolio.  Spot potential value setups by scanning these 877 undervalued stocks based on cash flows where prices and cash flow expectations can look very different from headline stories. Capture growth themes in tech by checking these 28 AI penny stocks that are tied to real earnings potential rather than just hype. Tap into early stage opportunities across smaller names through these 3540 penny stocks with strong financials before the wider market starts paying closer attention.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}