A Look At Hanover Insurance Group (THG) Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St.

Jan 11

AdvertisementRecent performance snapshot for Hanover Insurance Group Hanover Insurance Group (THG) has drawn investor attention after a period where the share price showed a 2% decline over the past ...

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This sits alongside a 1 year total return of 20.2% and a 5 year total return of 63.1%.\nSee our latest analysis for Hanover Insurance Group.\nRecent share price...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4107":"财产与意外伤害保险","LU2065732104.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX) WF GLOBAL SMALL CAP EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","THG":"汉诺威保险"},"translate_title":"近期股价疲软后看看汉诺威保险集团(THG)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"THG":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementRecent performance snapshot for Hanover Insurance Group Hanover Insurance Group (THG) has drawn investor attention after a period where the share price showed a 2% decline over the past week and a 6.3% decline over the past month. Over the past 3 months, the stock shows a 2.5% decline, while the year to date return is down 3.3%. This sits alongside a 1 year total return of 20.2% and a 5 year total return of 63.1%. See our latest analysis for Hanover Insurance Group. Recent share price weakness, including the 1 month share price return of a 6.32% decline to $173.19, contrasts with a much stronger picture over longer horizons where total shareholder returns over 1, 3 and 5 years remain firmly positive. This pattern suggests some momentum is fading in the short term as investors reassess risk and growth expectations after a solid multi year total shareholder return profile. If Hanover’s recent pullback has you rethinking where to deploy fresh capital, it can help to widen the lens and compare opportunities across the insurance space using healthcare stocks as a starting point. With revenue of $6.5b, net income of $631.0m and an intrinsic value estimate that sits below the current $173.19 share price, the key question is whether Hanover is still cheap or if the market is already pricing in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 13.5% Undervalued With Hanover Insurance Group last closing at $173.19 against a narrative fair value of about $200.13, the current gap is drawing attention to what is baked into those long term assumptions. Sustained investment in advanced technology, data analytics, and AI-driven workflow automation is enabling more accurate risk assessment, faster quote turnaround, and process efficiency, providing Hanover with scalability advantages and supporting improvement in expense ratio and long-term net margins. Read the complete narrative. Curious what level of premium growth, margin progression, and earnings multiple are needed to back that higher value? The widely followed narrative ties together modest revenue expansion, a small uplift in profitability, and a future P/E that still sits below the broader US insurance peer group. If you want to see exactly how those inputs stack up over the next few years, the full narrative lays out the step by step maths behind that fair value. Result: Fair Value of $200.13 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this hinges on Hanover keeping catastrophe losses and execution risks on its tech investments in check. Setbacks in these areas could quickly challenge that fair value story. Find out about the key risks to this Hanover Insurance Group narrative.  Build Your Own Hanover Insurance Group Narrative If you see the numbers differently or simply want to pressure test your own assumptions, you can build a complete Hanover narrative yourself in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Hanover Insurance Group. Looking for more investment ideas? If Hanover is already on your radar, do not stop there. Broadening your watchlist with targeted stock ideas can help you spot opportunities you might otherwise miss.  Spot potential turnarounds early by scanning these 3538 penny stocks with strong financials that combine smaller market sizes with stronger balance sheets and cash generation. Ride the AI wave more deliberately by checking out these 28 AI penny stocks focused on companies applying artificial intelligence to real revenue opportunities. Hunt for mispriced opportunities by reviewing these 879 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that look cheap relative to their cash flow potential.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Hanover Insurance Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}