兴业证券王涵:中国股市市值占比还未到顶,不必担心有泡沫

睿见Economy
Jan 11

专题:2026中国首席经济学家论坛年会

  2026年中国首席经济学家论坛年会于1月10-11日在上海举行,主题为“棋至中局:承前启后 建设强国”。兴业证券首席经济学家王涵出席并演讲。

  王涵指出,观察全球股市市值,会发现大头仍在发达国家。美国GDP在全球占比26%,其股市市值在全球占比48%。中国GDP在全球占比大概为17%,但A股就算加上港股,在全球占比也只有14%。也就是说,股市市值并未完全反映中国经济在全球中的占比。

  “因此从这个角度讲,我们是否需要担心中国股市有泡沫?也许会有泡沫,但市值占比肯定还未到顶。”

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