1月12日,和讯投顾孙鹏表示,上证指数今日强势开盘,然而仅7分钟便回落至绿盘,这预示着今日整个盘面可能出现重大波动,特别是冲高后的向下回踩情况值得重点关注。周五看空的创业板,因当日上证指数足够强势未出现预期跳水,但今日早盘创业板迅速向下探底超一个点。从看盘经验来讲,指数的弱势或强势一般会延续至次日,所以早盘创业板下跌是延续了周五未能释放的做空动能,可见今日创业板跌势显著。一旦上证指数冲高回落,其走势大概率是冲高后下跌且跌势明显。此外,上证指数与科创50今日均呈现冲高回落态势,微盘股指数亦是如此。以整个市场以上证指数为核心来看,今日大概率冲高回落收平行小微阳线,而微盘股最终可能收绿。值得注意的是,微盘股在此位置停止上涨,需防范其次日向下变盘。因此,今日盘中的冲高并不适合追击,反而要做好预防措施。
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