1月12日，港股纸业股再度活跃，其中，玖龙纸业涨6.5%续刷阶段新高，月内累计升幅达22%，理文造纸涨超3%，晨鸣纸业涨1.22%。
消息上，近期，以玖龙、山鹰、理文、荣成为代表的包装纸企业大规模停机检修，主动收缩产能；博汇、APP、万国纸业、亚太森博等白卡纸及文化纸厂商集体宣布涨价。
中金指出，2026年短期木片供需缺口将现，看好木片、浆价中枢修复。短期来看，国内近年来大规模投产自制浆，但优质木片资源的配套建设周期远滞后于设备投产，预计2026年国内木片市场将出现阶段性供给缺口，原材料紧缺将推升成本重心；随需求端边际改善，2026年纸浆价格中枢有望迎来修复，具备全产业链自给能力的头部企业将继续演绎“加工制造”到“资源重估”溢价机会。
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